佩小姐的奇幻城堡

菲律宾在与美国、澳大利亚举行长达19天，规模“史上最大”的联合演习后，酝酿多时的挑衅手段终于拿出来了。         Photo: Chinese Embassy in Colombia
Following the earthquake in Colombia earlier this month, the Chinese government has delivered emergency humanitarian earthquake relief supplies to the country. Chinese Ambassador to Colombia Zhu Jingyang told the Global Times on Saturday that the two countries' support in the face of natural disasters vividly embodies the spirit of a community with a shared future for humanity.
A magnitude-7.5 earthquake struck northwestern Colombia on August 10, according to China Earthquake Networks Center, with 32 cities severely affected. 
Chinese Embassy in Colombia said that the emergency humanitarian relief supplies provided by the Chinese government arrived at El Dorado International Airport in Bogota at noon on August 18. The roughly 80-ton shipment included generators, water purification vehicles, disinfection equipment, solar lighting equipment, tents and blankets. 
Chinese Ambassador to Colombia Zhu told the Global Times on Saturday that the hardest-hit areas faced complex challenges.
Choco, the epicenter, is one of Colombia's least-developed regions, making reconstruction difficult. Valle del Cauca, the country's second-most populous department, was widely affected. Pereira, capital of Risaralda, suffered numerous building collapses and the highest death toll. "Our embassy has tailored and carefully organized the relief effort, and the humanitarian supplies provided by the Chinese government have been delivered to the Colombian side," Zhu said.
With strong assistance from COSCO Shipping, the embassy worked with Colombian authorities to transport and distribute the supplies to victims in Valle del Cauca. 
Heavy machinery from Chinese companies arrived in Pereira shortly after the earthquake to assist with rescue and debris clearance, while Chinese companies in Colombia spontaneously donated and transported supplies to Choco, ensuring Chinese assistance reached all major disaster areas, and fully demonstrating China's humanitarian care and its sense of responsibility as a major country, Zhu introduced.
China's relief efforts drew an enthusiastic response in Colombia. Zhu said that, according to incomplete statistics, most major Colombian media outlets and several major international media extensively covered China's cash and emergency humanitarian assistance. 
Posts on the embassy's social media accounts have garnered nearly 8 million views. Many Colombians spontaneously expressed their gratitude, while regional media, self-media and opinion leaders produced articles, graphics and videos promoting China's relief efforts and calling for the new government to strengthen cooperation with China and safeguard bilateral friendship.
"Recognition from the Colombian people shows that China-Colombia friendship is deeply rooted in people's hearts," Zhu said. "Strengthening bilateral cooperation has become a consensus across regions and sectors. China-Colombia ties are not affected by changes of government, and the two countries' support in the face of natural disasters vividly embodies the spirit of a community with a shared future for humanity, where nations stand together through storms and share weal and woe." Zhu also cited a Pew survey showing public favorability toward China among Colombians has reached a record high.
    Photo: Chinese Embassy in ColombiaMeanwhile, the safety of Chinese nationals in Colombia remains the embassy's top concern. Immediately after the earthquake, the embassy activated its emergency response mechanism and, despite disrupted communications and transportation, conducted multiple rounds of checks on Chinese citizens, Chinese-funded institutions and overseas Chinese communities. So far, no Chinese nationals have been reported injured or killed.
On the day of the earthquake, the embassy also received an urgent request from the Hong Kong SAR government to help locate a Hong Kong resident's family that had lost contact in Cali, Zhu said. 
Despite communications disruptions, the embassy contacted them within hours and confirmed they were safe. After some Chinese-owned shops reported collapsed or cracked exterior walls, the embassy organized community groups to conduct targeted assessments and aid. It also issued multiple consular advisories, urging Chinese nationals to avoid non-essential travel to affected areas and guard against aftershocks, health hazards and other secondary risks.
In the interview, Zhu urged Chinese nationals in Colombia and those planning to visit to remain vigilant, noting the country's serious security situation and successive natural disasters, including earthquakes, forest fires and volcanic eruptions. 
He also urged them to avoid complacency, noting that one department remains at extremely high risk and 18 other remain at high risk, strengthen safety precautions and emergency preparedness.
。据环球时报报道，近两天，一个菲“民间组织”将召集一群所谓的“当地渔民”，前往中国黄岩岛周边寻事，菲方意图以“渔民”为“肉盾”，推进新一轮南海侵权行动，并蓄意“碰瓷”，向国际社会“卖惨”。

对此，美国海事专家鲍威尔披露，中国正派遣一支庞大队伍前往封锁黄岩岛，至少有4艘海岸警卫队船只和26艘大型海上民兵船。

也就是说，中国和菲律宾的海上力量，都在向黄岩岛集结，在菲律宾通过演习谋划多时后，有可能在此次对峙中采取激进动作，迫使双方摊牌。对此，我们聊三个话题。

第一个，菲律宾新一轮挑衅动作，为什么要选址黄岩岛？这可能出于三个原因。

首先，黄岩岛是距离菲律宾本土最近的中国岛礁。资料显示，黄岩岛距菲北部的吕宋岛，直线距离只有220公里，而菲律宾首都马尼拉，则正好在吕宋岛上，而且与黄岩岛几乎在一条平行的直线上，就像中方盯着菲律宾的一只“眼睛”，这让菲方感到特别受不了，因此内心最希望拔除的，就是黄岩岛。

不仅如此，黄岩岛还扼守在进出菲律宾苏比克湾的咽喉要冲上，通过卫星地图查询，距菲律宾著名的苏比克海军基地，直线距离也就300公里。令人关注的是，这里也是美军长期在菲租用的基地。如此，不仅菲律宾，恐怕美国也想拿下黄岩岛。

B | 而且，当年美菲搞所谓“南海仲裁”，针对的就是黄岩岛，中菲首次大型对峙，也在黄岩岛。

其次，黄岩岛的地质条件，非常适宜“造岛”。说它是“岛”，但实际上黄岩岛并不是大片在海水之上的陆地，它只是一个三角形的珊瑚岛屿。

C | 探测数据显示，黄岩岛的礁盘面积约150平方公里——包括礁坪面积80平方公里，周边环礁潟湖面积70平方公里。

D |

而且，一个非常有利的条件是，黄岩岛北端和南端的礁坪周边，海水仅深0.5米，非常适合填海造陆。

E | 如果对其进行升级改造，这里完全可以填出一座40平方公里的大岛，容纳20万人长期生活。中国是全球公认的“基建狂魔”，如果愿意的话，填出一个大岛来并非难事，但这对菲律宾来说，则无异于是一个“恶梦”。

最后，菲方引进的巡航导弹，主要盯着的就是黄岩岛。在上月底，菲律宾从印度引进的“布拉莫斯”巡航导弹到位后，被菲方部署到了吕宋岛西侧，直白点说就是“正对黄岩岛”的位置，潜台词已经非常清楚了，虽然印度不希望太过刺激中国，将射程限制在了290公里，但前面说了，吕宋岛离黄岩岛仅220公里，对菲律宾来说，完全够用。

而且，美菲澳在“肩并肩”联合演习中，演练的“抢滩登岛”，也是拿黄岩岛当“范本”进行参照的。在菲律宾看来，黄岩岛“势在必得”。

第二个，菲方出动的这个“民间组织”其实并不简单，甚至还有“美国背景”。

此前，菲方也有过渔民擅闯黄岩岛海域，因为周边不仅有丰富的渔业资源，而且也是中沙群岛周边相关海域中，唯一可以停靠船舶躲避台风的天然岛屿。但是，马科斯政府开始在南海挑衅中国后，菲方在进入2024年后，开始派渔政船强闯黄岩岛，这与渔民来打鱼，完全是两个性质。

观察还发现，此次准备到黄岩岛滋事的菲“民间组织”，来头也不简单，它的名字很奇怪，叫“这是我们的”，菲方选择它前往黄岩岛挑事，恐怕这个名字也有一部分原因。梳理资料还发现，这个“民间组织”其实常年受美方资助，在南海议题上兴风作浪，并借此影响菲政府的南海政策。如今，菲律宾政府也选择它，表明美菲对在南海挑衅中国，已完全达成了一致。

F |

据称，这个菲“民间组织”此次组织了200多人，准备乘坐100多条船前往黄岩岛，在临近海域抛放“象征性浮标”，上面写有充满挑衅意味的标语。

G | 如果像美国海事专家所说，中方若用30艘船阻拦，恐怕根本忙不过来，届时会出现什么样的混乱场面，其实并不难想象，如果菲方再夹带“其他内容”，局面有可能当时就会激化，从而导致双方直接摊牌。

对于中菲在南海的争议，一开始中方还是希望能通过沟通解决的，并也达成过“君子协议”，但马科斯政府根本不讲信用，不仅不执行，而且还不承认与中方达成过协议。在这样的背景下，中方也不再客气，不仅对外公布了双方达成共识时的对话录音，而且还直接点名道姓，称其获得了哪些菲方高层的同意。这样直接“打脸”的动作，也让菲方有些气急败坏，所以此次蓄谋挑衅，动静不会小。

一个值得关注的动向时，针对黄岩岛，央视曾在5月13日一天之内，连发三条重要消息。

H | 上午是“中国海警位黄岩岛海域开展常态化训练”，中午是“首次披露黄岩岛航拍影像”，晚间是“披露中国海警川山舰近日在黄岩岛海域开展海上救生的训练细节”。三条信息不仅与黄岩岛相关，而且三件事还都相互关联，恐怕这也是一个“预警”信号，表明黄岩岛接下来若有事，不会是小事。

实际上，中方在最近一段时间，不仅对菲律宾的回应越来越冷，而且在美菲澳演习还没有结束之际，就让055携带四舰编队开往了南海，并在美菲眼皮子底下，实施实战化演练。这四艘战舰分别是055遵义舰，052C海口舰、052D昆明舰和054A咸宁舰，光垂发单元就达到256个，且能进行全维打击，强硬姿态非常明显。

而且，菲方还对外披露，称中方在仙宾礁已经启动“造岛”工程。资料显示，仙宾礁在仁爱礁东侧，距菲律宾更近，在目前背景下，菲方这一消息，恐怕也并非“空穴来风”。如此，菲律宾如果仍肆意挑衅，则双方在南海摊牌的日子，恐怕真的就越来越近了。